Ken's Cyber Cave: When can we say goodbye to COVID-19?

It has been 2 years since COVID-19 shows up and makes our lives miserable. Most of us want to know when we can return to our normal routine. Here is a non-scientific prediction based on elementary Chinese metaphysics.

If you have no patience to read all the jargons and arguments, skip to the red boldfaced paragraph below to see the conclusions.

PREDICTION BASED ON CHINESE CALENDAR AND 5-ELEMENTS THEORY

Chinese calendar is based on a 60-years cycle. Each year is assigned a "stem" and "branch" with its 5-elements nature. "5 elements" refer to the interplay between metal, wood, water, fire and earth energies. Chinese metaphysics believes all living things are controlled by this interplay of 5-elements energies.

In Chinese metaphysics, COVID-19, a respiratory disease, is represented by metal and water elements. Below is a rough year-by-year 5-elements analysis:

2019 is Ji-hai year or earth-water in 5-elements theory. It means this year was dominated by earth and water energies. This year had provided a favorable environment for COVID-19 to spread.
2020 is Geng-zi year or metal-water in nature. It means this year was dominated by metal and water energies which were extremely favorable to the spreading of COVID-19.
2021 is Xin-chou year or metal-earth in nature. Earth nourishes or produces metal in 5-elements theory. It means this year is dominated by strong metal energy. Metal stands for respiratory organs like lungs.

How about 2022? Could it be the end of COVID-19?

2022 is Ren-yin year or water-wood in nature. Water energy is still strong in this year. So COVID-19 is likely not retreating.
2023 is Gui-mao year or water-wood in nature. Gui-water is "yin" (as in yin-yang) water. It is the "yin-est" branch element and associated with dirty water and sickness. From this alone, I predict COVID-19 will be still around with us in 2023.
2024 is Jia-chen year or wood-earth in nature. No water or metal element to flame the virus in this year. Therefore, I guess COVID-19 will finally be over or at the least under control in this year.
2025 is Yi-si year or or wood-earth in 5-elements theory. No water or metal element in this year.

PREDICTION BASED ON "EARTH MOTHER CLASSIC"

I have checked "Earth Mother Classic" (地母經) To find supporting material for my analysis. This ancient classic contains 60 predictions in poem form for the 60 years cycle of the Chinese calendar. It was first known in 1883. The contents was allegedly transmitted from the Earth Mother Goddess to the public through a psychic medium during divinations in her Shan Xi province temple ( 陝西漢中府城固縣之地母廟飛鸞傳經 ). It makes annual predictions about agriculture, horticulture, aquaculture, silkworms, pests, pandemic, weather, human and natural disasters. Annual predictions are put in the first page of each year's Chinese Almanac (see 2022 predictions in Chinese here).

For 2020, "Earth Mother Classic" had predicted "many citizens meet sudden deaths" ( 人民多暴卒 ) and mass burials (山頭起墓田).

For 2021, this Classic had predicted "Diseases have tampered off slightly " ( 疾病稍紛紛 ). "People recover gradually" (人民漸蘇息 ). "Epidemic shrinks back gradually among livestock" (六畜瘴逡巡). "Only half of the people survived" (人民留一半). The last prediction does not mean half of humanity had died but "a large number of people had perished". In reality over 5.4 million people had perished globally since COVID-19 appeared (as of end of 2021).

For 2022, this Classic had predicted rising prices or inflation in modern terms (桑葉不堪貴). "Though people are happy and prosperous, (人民雖富樂 ) livestock suffer serious mishaps" ( 六畜盡遭凶 ). The last one may be interpreted as infectious disease originated from livestock got transmitted to human (bird flu is found in Israel at end of 2021).

For 2023, this Classic had predicted "people suffer numerous diseases " ( 人民多疾病 ). "Rampant epidemic arise among livestock" (六畜瘴煙起 ) and inflation will be here (桑葉雖然貴). This implies the epidemic will still be around in 2023.

Earth Mother Classic has made quite accurate predictions for year 2020 and 2021. There are no predictions about epidemic and diseases for year 2024 and 2025 in the Classic except inflation will still be high in these 2 years.

Based on my "5-elements analysis" of the years above and "Earth Mother Classic" predictions, I conclude COVID-19 may not subside until year 2024. 2022 and 2023 do not look optimistic.

Original Chinese text of Earth Mother Classic is posted in the Appendix below.

You could check global statistics on COVID-19 from this link to WHO:

WHO Coronavirus (COVID-19) Dashboard | WHO Coronavirus (COVID-19) Dashboard With Vaccination Data

WHO's statistics have scared me and driven me to take two jabs of Pfizer vaccine and a Moderna booster shot. (Please consult your doctor before taking your shots, esp. if you have any heart condition).

Keep Safe and Happy New Year!

Ken Lai

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APPENDIX

地母經

庚子年　1960．2020．
詩曰︰太歲庚子年，人民多暴卒。春夏水淹流，秋冬頻饑渴。
高田猶及半，晚稻無可割。秦淮足流蕩，吳楚多劫奪。
桑葉須後賤，蠶娘情不悅。見蠶不見絲，徒勞用心切。
卜曰︰鼠耗出頭年，高低多偏頗。更看三冬裏，山頭起墓田。

辛丑年　1961．2021．
詩曰︰太歲辛丑年，疾病稍紛紛。吳越桑麻好，荊楚米麥臻。
春夏均甘雨，秋冬得十分。桑葉樹頭秀，蠶姑自歡欣。
人民漸蘇息，六畜瘴逡巡。
卜曰︰辛丑牛為首，高低甚可憐。人民留一半，快活好桑田。

壬寅年　1962．2022．
詩曰︰太歲壬寅年，高低盡得豐。春夏承甘潤，秋冬處處通。
蠶桑熟吳地，穀麥益江東。桑葉不堪貴，蠶絲卻半豐。
更看三秋裡，禾稻穗重重。人民雖富樂，六畜盡遭凶。
卜曰︰虎首值歲頭，在處好田苗。桑柘葉下貴，蠶娘免憂愁。
禾稻多成實，耕夫不用憂。

癸卯年　1963．2023．
詩曰︰太歲癸卯年，高低半憂喜。春夏雨雹多，秋來缺雨水。
燕趙好桑麻，吳地禾稻美。人民多疾病，六畜瘴煙起。
桑葉枝上空，天蠶無可食。蠶婦走忙忙，提籃泣淚悲。
雖得多綿絲，盡費人心力。
卜曰︰癸卯兔頭豐，高低禾麥濃。耕夫皆勤種，貯積在三冬。
桑葉雖然貴，絲綿更有工。

甲辰年　1964．2024．
詩曰︰太歲甲辰年，稻麻一半空。春夏遭淹沒，秋冬流不通。
魯地桑葉好，吳邦穀不豐。桑棄末後貴，相賀好天蟲。
估賣價例貴，雪凍在三冬。
卜曰︰龍頭屬甲辰，高低共五分。豆麥無成實，六畜亦遭迍。
更看冬至後，霜雪落紛紛。